Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 296.303645 335.928250 380.196733 433.562950 496.473842 568.671058 658.359797
2025-02-09 237.100907 288.553106 351.375581 434.698453 543.782517 683.826448 880.684380
2025-02-16 199.457067 253.819987 324.073617 423.300530 562.798641 756.585293 1054.778833
2025-02-23 174.107311 229.342035 303.960508 414.778001 579.905020 824.969064 1232.745473
2025-03-02 160.597704 218.208956 299.231754 425.266178 623.642200 937.404817 1501.577451
2025-03-09 147.021181 204.948030 289.190510 425.474040 650.350139 1026.523830 1752.023318
2025-03-16 133.708254 190.404819 275.203708 417.028389 660.761216 1089.027341 1968.713947
2025-03-23 124.701149 181.256341 268.171490 418.351176 687.084013 1183.339352 2271.338468
2025-03-30 114.828158 169.759077 256.105210 409.446058 693.442274 1240.936980 2512.550549
2025-04-06 107.573394 161.692372 248.670839 407.394152 711.701361 1324.668962 2836.536955
2025-04-13 98.044713 149.159531 232.653571 388.106322 693.924137 1330.696092 2975.658547
2025-04-20 95.497228 147.847038 235.401778 403.290038 746.457599 1497.587163 3581.133488
2025-04-27 93.915016 148.139203 241.158957 425.328813 817.986359 1726.965164 4464.046416
2025-05-04 89.211099 142.712505 236.271464 426.098744 844.251926 1855.946005 5111.504927
2025-05-11 83.332877 134.776438 226.096752 414.988955 842.035690 1912.710981 5551.933770
2025-05-18 78.380961 128.128766 217.745641 406.671392 844.977020 1984.009612 6079.473189
2025-05-25 76.177878 126.255779 218.200812 416.906703 893.896016 2194.429744 7245.175482
2025-06-01 72.954256 122.274743 214.246260 417.109539 918.084703 2340.522316 8245.865520
2025-06-08 69.048032 116.764866 206.857271 408.867657 919.353548 2417.914373 8998.013899
2025-06-15 66.470404 113.582273 203.834400 410.158590 946.006856 2583.397501 10286.464466
2025-06-22 63.062981 108.607521 196.819585 401.467462 944.217876 2655.092499 11156.004123
2025-06-29 60.558622 105.223491 192.815606 399.464712 960.893738 2795.867310 12525.136908
2025-07-06 56.634524 98.863766 182.223006 380.636144 926.637155 2746.164336 12741.667654